I can't see any need for a "new timeline" - I'll stick to mine of some time back viewtopic.php?f=7&t=1316&p=7991&hilit=beaulieu#p7991
. Best not to revisit that discussion?
I have long thought that Serpolette's tricycle was a Comiot (rather than a Gladiator as reported - she was travelling on behalf of Gladiator, so it was certainly cheeky to represent a Comiot as a Gladiator). So, yes, the lower two photos look to be the same type of tricycle.
The top photo shows the Ariel tricycle that arrived in Australia in March 1898. Does it have "Comiot" forks? Maybe (I've looked hard and can't say for sure), but Comiot and British company Eadie were strongly linked at this time, so a British-made De Dion Bouton engined tricycle of late 1897 build could have used a Comiot-Eadie fork. The de Dion-engined tricycle that landed in Australia in March 1898 was certainly represented as "Ariel (late Dunlop)". Did Dunlop make it? Did Components make it for Dunlop? Or was it, like Serpolette's tricycle, made by another company and "branded" by Dunlop as "Ariel"? I'm not sure.
Anyway, here's another Australian Ariel Tricycle, from the Australasian newspaper in July 1901. The caption was: "A GASOLINE AUTOMOBILE. The above motor is fitted with a three-horse power engine, using gasoline as fuel. It has been run during the last six months over 2,000 miles, on all kinds of roads, the cost of running being about 1 s (? very hard to read) per 50 miles, with three adults. On a good road a speed of over 30 miles per hour can be maintained. It was partly made by Mr. F. J. Thwaites, who sends the photo." The tricycle looks 100% Ariel; Mr. Thwaites most likely made the "attachment".